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Budget 2015: So how much is the ‘surprise pay-rise’?

Chancellor George Osborne with his Treasury team outside 11 Downing Street
Chancellor George Osborne with his Treasury team outside 11 Downing Street

The Chancellor appeared to take business by surprise by announcing moves for a new living wage of £9 an hour by 2020.

George Osborne said at the end of his Budget speech that “Britain deserves a pay rise”, as he unveiled a new compulsory living wage, set well above the national minimum wage.

Work and Pensions Secretary Iain Duncan Smith shouted out “fantastic” as Mr Osborne told MPs: “Working people aged 25 and over will receive it. It will start next April, at the rate of £7.20.

“The Low Pay Commission will recommend future rises that achieve the Government’s objective of reaching 60% of median earnings by 2020.

“That is the minimum level of pay recommended in the report to the Resolution Foundation by Sir George Bain – chair of the Low Pay Commission.

“Let me address the impact on business and employment. The OBR today say that the new national living wage will have, in their words, only a “fractional“ effect on jobs.

“The OBR have assessed the economic conditions of the country, and all the policies in the Budget. They say that by 2020 there will be 60,000 fewer jobs as a result of the national living wage but almost one million more in total.”

The announcement follows a report by KPMG earlier this week which said that paying the living wage rather than the statutory minimum would only cost 1.3% of the national wage bill and bring in £4.5 billion in taxes and reduced benefit payments.

KPMG said it had calculated for the first time the impact of adopting the current higher rate of £7.85 an hour (£9.15 in London), compared with the adult national minimum wage of £6.50.

The professional services firm said companies that adopted the living wage had reported “clear benefits” to their businesses.

The increase to £7.20 by April is a rise of 70p on the current minimum rate and 50p above the increase coming into effect in October.

The Low Pay Commission will be asked to recommend the premium going forward, increasing the rate to 60% of median earnings by 2020.

Around 2.7 million low wage workers are expected to benefit, while six million should see some pay rise as a result of a “ripple” effect, said the Government.

The increase to £7.20 will mean an 11% rise in hourly pay, with a full-time worker earning over £1,200 more than today, it was estimated.

The adult minimum wage has increased from £6.08 an hour in 2011 to £6.50 now, rising to £6.70 in October.