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Polls leave referendum in the balance as voting begins today

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The future of the United Kingdom hangs in the balance today with the latest poll suggesting the No camp has a wafer-thin lead last night.

As voters prepare to cast their ballots across the country, a series of surveys have now shown that the result of the historic referendum on Scottish independence remains too close to call.

A You Gov poll released late last night put the projected outcome at 52% for No and 48% for Yes.

And an Ipsos-Mori phone poll released yesterday evening put the projected outcome at 51% for No and 49% for Yes, once the “don’t knows” were excluded.

With those yet to make up their mind factored into the findings, the No campaign was at 49%, Yes at 47% and undecided at 5%. That represents a seven point increase for Yes since the previous Ipsos-Mori poll.

Ipsos-Mori was the polling company that came within a percentage point of correctly predicting the SNP’s landslide 2011 election victory.

The latest figures prompted campaigners on both sides to predict imminent victory as supporters turned out in force in Inverness and Aberdeen, while large rallies were held by both sides in Glasgow.

Earlier in the day, an online Panelbase survey showed support for independence was at 48% once don’t knows were excluded, with No at 52%.

That was the same finding of three other polls by Opinium, ICM and Survation commissioned for national newspapers and published yesterday morning.

Yes Scotland chief executive Blair Jenkins said the polls showed that the campaign was “in touching distance of success”.

He added: “People know that a Yes vote is Scotland’s one opportunity to achieve job-creating powers, protect our NHS from the damaging impact of Westminster cuts and privatisation, and ensure that never again do we get Tory governments imposed on Scotland that we have roundly rejected.

“The empty offer of a very few more powers from the No campaign has unravelled within 24 hours, in the face of a Tory revolt at Westminster.”

Mr Darling, chairman of the Better Together campaign, warned that the “risks of separation are very, very clear”.

He said: “When we go to the polls we are not voting for a one-term government, we are voting for Scotland’s future forever, it is that important.

“If we vote to leave, there is no going back.”