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Analysis: Pollster strongly predicts No, but nothing will be taken for granted

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It is, of course, very early days. But the poll results from You Gov which suggest No is on its way to an eight-point victory will be music to the ears of Better Together campaigners.

You Gov president Peter Kellner even went as far as to say that he was “99%” sure that the people of Scotland would vote to remain in the union in an interview on Sky News.

Nobody involved with the campaign would dare go as far as to say that at this stage. There is a long way to go and the pollsters could be wrong.

If the result is to be believed, however, it would suggest that some of those who had previously identified themselves as undecided have opted for No when faced with the pressure of placing a cross in the box.

Was it a reaction to the late surge from the Yes camp? Are voters being driven by the fear of the unknown rather than hope for what the future might bring?

The truth is we just don’t know yet.

The figures that we can put our faith in at this stage are those showing a remarkably high turnout. Some areas are reporting that more than 90% of people cast a vote – one report even suggested 100%.

Given the general level of apathy towards elections in recent years, both at local and national level, these are truly remarkable numbers.

People have participated in this election who haven’t voted in years, some who have never voted at all.

The level of engagement has been extraordinary, and Scotland has changed for the better as a result, no matter the outcome.